I Have What?
Posted in Miscellaneous on August 22nd, 2007 by JennyAfter doing some reading I have figured out what is going on in my head. Turns out I have all the symptoms of a…you are not going to believe this…all the symptoms of a, well, a cognitive bias. Oh boy. Do I need to see a doctor? I thought I was vaccinated! Am I contagious? How is it possible it is not a disease, especially with a name like that, but can still hurt me? How did I catch it? And the biggest question of all - how do I get rid of it?
My disbelief set in quickly. What? A cognitive bias? Oh, why can’t these darn people just write in normal language so that I can figure out what they are saying? They use huge, unpronounceable words and take 10 pages to say what I can in three sentences. Jeez, the way they explain things people might start jumping off bridges before they can understand what’s being said. Now I am not an expert, but they might want to consider you can’t fix people’s thinking if they’re not around anymore to have some fixing done.
Since cognitive biases are so common you might be afflicted too. So, I’ll share a bit more detail. The rough translation of the word cognitive is thinking and bias in this case means a tendency to think about things the wrong way. Yep, it is that simple. So it took them 30 pages to explain that a cognitive bias is when you think about certain things in a way that might seem right but is really wrong (well with some other five-syllable disclaimers thrown in, but trust me - more or less this is it).
From what I can gather I have a strain of cognitive bias called a planning fallacy. A planning fallacy, blah! Apparently this is not even a particularly interesting or unusual bias. It’s common and boring. I object! If there is something wrong with my head I want it to be spectacular, not just run of the mill. I want something special, maybe a Ludic fallacy or a Subadditivity effect. So my strain - the planning fallacy translated means my thinking about how long it would take to complete a plan seemed right but it was really wrong.
I have suffered from the symptoms for a long, long time; however, I never got an accurate diagnosis until now. I spent plenty of time feeling bad but could not quite put my finger on just what was wrong. Well, actually over the years more than a few people have pointed out there was a problem, they just did not know what to call it or have any real suggestions how to fix it. Instead they mostly got mad, sometimes really mad, and ordered me to straighten up, to be realistic, to take my head out of the clouds - well you get the picture.
I would get set to do something - could be just about anything - clean the house, start a work project, or head out on a walking adventure and create beautiful plans. I would spend hours generating these plans - detailed with timelines lovingly tied to every task. However, they were always at least slightly off. This might have been okay, but I believed in my plans so much that I would often pull them out and convince darn near anybody to sign on… It wasn’t that I was trying to fool people, it was just that I really believed in my planning. I believed it was right, but it was really wrong. Hmmm, this might explain a lot, yeah?
Okay, simple enough. Let’s fix me. Give me a shot, or a pill or something. Are you kidding? I’m supposed to be aware, double check my timelines and compare them to what actually happens, mostly just learn to negate my bias by paying lots of attention? What a lame prescription for getting better. I swear I heard about a couple of pills that work great. They come in red and blue. Maybe I should just take one. Ah, not sure the red or the blue? Blue or red? Can somebody help me out here… Hah! Just kidding, this is not a problem. Be aware, double-check and compare - nothing to it. I’ll be fixed in a day or two, no longer. What? An optimism bias? Oh, it’s time for you just to stop talking!
PS. This post is for my dear friend Erin who, while she just might suffer from many a cognitive bias, turns out planning fallacies aren’t one of them. I’m waving the white flag. My friend I solemnly concede you are in charge of all things planning in regards to walking as it turns out I’m sick, very sick indeed… I promise to be quiet and listen. Really and truly, I do. Promise that is.





